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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Auxerre vs Marseille — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sun 29 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Auxerre win
30%
Draw
23%
Marseille win
47%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score61%
AuxerreLLLWW15th · 6 pts
MarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts

Ahead of Auxerre v Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 29 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Marseille the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Auxerre and 1.7 for Marseille. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Auxerre goals down (↓), Marseille goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Auxerre 0W · 0D · 2L.

Marseille1–0Auxerre
Auxerre0–1Marseille

Recent form

Auxerre
Wvs Brest2–1
Wvs Nice1–0
L@ Olympique Lyon1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
L@ RC Lens2–5
Marseille
Lvs PSG1–2
L@ Stade Rennais0–1
Lvs Paris FC2–3
L@ Monaco0–2
Wvs Strasbourg4–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Auxerre winDrawMarseille win

FAQ

Who will win Auxerre vs Marseille?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Marseille the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Auxerre win 30%, draw 23%, Marseille win 47%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Marseille?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Auxerre 1–1 Marseille). Projected goals: Auxerre 1.3, Marseille 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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