Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Marseille vs Lille — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sat 16 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Marseille win
35%
Draw
27%
Lille win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score52%
MARMarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts
LILLilleDWWLW2nd · 13 pts

Ahead of Marseille v Lille in the Ligue 1 on 16 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Lille the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.2 for Marseille and 1.3 for Lille. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Marseille vs Lille?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Lille the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Marseille win 35%, draw 27%, Lille win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Lille?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Marseille 1–1 Lille). Projected goals: Marseille 1.2, Lille 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

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