Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Troyes vs Toulouse — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 29 · Sat 24 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Troyes win
35%
Draw
24%
Toulouse win
41%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score61%
TroyesDWLLL16th · 4 pts
ToulouseDLDWD14th · 6 pts

Ahead of Troyes v Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 24 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Toulouse the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Troyes and 1.6 for Toulouse. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Troyes goals down (↓), Toulouse goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

5863107119521586310243210111100000000012345012345

Recent form

Troyes
L@ Angers SCO0–2
L@ Lille0–2
Lvs Strasbourg2–6
W@ Lorient2–1
Dvs Paris FC0–0
Toulouse
D@ Monaco2–2
Wvs Le Havre3–2
D@ Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille0–1
D@ Brest2–2

FAQ

Who will win Troyes vs Toulouse?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Toulouse the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Troyes win 35%, draw 24%, Toulouse win 41%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Troyes vs Toulouse?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Troyes 1–1 Toulouse). Projected goals: Troyes 1.5, Toulouse 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

← Ligue 1 table & projection