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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Toulouse vs Lorient — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC

Toulouse win
45%
Draw
25%
Lorient win
30%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score54%
ToulouseDLDWD13th · 6 pts
LorientLWDLW9th · 8 pts

Ahead of Toulouse v Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 16 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Toulouse and 1.2 for Lorient. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Toulouse goals down (↓), Lorient goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Toulouse vs Lorient?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Toulouse win 45%, draw 25%, Lorient win 30%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Lorient?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Toulouse 1–1 Lorient). Projected goals: Toulouse 1.5, Lorient 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

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