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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Toulouse vs Le Mans — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 6 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Toulouse win
52%
Draw
21%
Le Mans win
26%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.1 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams score66%
ToulouseDLDWD13th · 6 pts
Le MansLDDWL12th · 6 pts

Ahead of Toulouse v Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 6 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely outcome at 52%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.1 for Toulouse and 1.4 for Le Mans. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Toulouse goals down (↓), Le Mans goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Toulouse vs Le Mans?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely result at 52%. Full split: Toulouse win 52%, draw 21%, Le Mans win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Le Mans?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Toulouse 2–1 Le Mans). Projected goals: Toulouse 2.1, Le Mans 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring.

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