Footyntel.

La Liga · Atleti

Atleti — Season Outlook

La Liga 2026/27 · currently 2nd · 19 pts · LWWWW

League tableTitle raceRelegation battle

🏟 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano · Est. 1903 · Red / White / Blue

La Liga · Matchday 8 of 38

Win title
3.8%
Top 4
85.7%
Relegation
0%
Gap to top5 pts
Clear of drop zone14 pts
Projected points77
Projected finish3rd
Most likely finish3rd
80% range2nd–5th

Where Atleti finish

Champions 3.8%Top 4 85.7%Mid-tableRelegation 0%

Footyntel projects Atleti to finish around 3rd in the La Liga 2026/27 — most likely 3rd, with an 80% range of 2nd to 5th — on roughly 77 points. Their chance of winning the title is 3.8%, of top 4 85.7%, and of relegation 0%. On current form they are well placed for top 4.

Home & away form

Home (W-D-L)3-1-0
Away (W-D-L)3-0-1
Goals home / away10 / 8
Clean sheets3
Current run4W

Season trend

How Atleti's title, top 4 and relegation probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Atleti's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Atleti in each match (H home, A away).

A  Espanyol52·24·25  17 OctH  Deportivo68·19·13  24 OctA  Levante61·20·19  31 OctH  Barça24·20·57  8 NovA  Getafe56·28·17  22 NovA  Elche60·20·20  29 NovH  Real Betis58·22·20  6 DecH  Valencia80·13·7  13 DecA  Celta40·28·32  20 DecA  Rayo Vallecano58·21·21  3 JanH  Santander84·10·6  10 JanH  Real Sociedad71·16·13  17 JanA  Deportivo50·24·26  24 JanH  Espanyol69·18·13  31 JanA  Barça11·14·75  7 FebA  Osasuna61·22·18  14 FebH  Elche78·13·9  21 FebA  Málaga63·21·15  28 FebH  Celta57·24·19  7 MarA  Santander67·17·16  14 MarH  Getafe70·21·9  21 MarA  Real Madrid22·22·56  4 AprH  Levante78·13·9  11 AprH  Sevilla FC69·18·13  18 AprA  Villarreal42·23·36  21 AprH  Alavés63·21·16  2 MayA  Valencia65·20·15  9 MayH  Rayo Vallecano75·15·10  16 MayH  Athletic68·19·13  23 MayA  Real Betis40·26·35  30 May

Squad

Current first-team squad.

Goalkeepers

  • Jan Oblak
  • Juan Musso
  • Salvi Esquivel

Defenders

  • Marcos Llorente
  • Dávid Hancko
  • Alejandro Grimaldo
  • Christian Romero
  • Robin Le Normand
  • Marc Pubill
  • Daniel Martínez
  • Jorge Domínguez

Midfielders

  • Koke
  • Morten Hjulmand
  • Johnny
  • Obed Vargas
  • Rodrigo Mendoza
  • Pablo Barrios
  • Kang-in Lee

Forwards

  • Alexander Sørloth
  • Jonathan David
  • Ademola Lookman
  • Julián Álvarez
  • Alejandro Baena
  • Giuliano Simeone
  • Arnau Ortiz
  • Carlos Martin

FAQ

Can Atleti win the La Liga this season?

Footyntel's model gives Atleti a 3.8% chance of winning the La Liga 2026/27 title, currently 3rd of 20 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 3rd on about 77 points.

Will Atleti be relegated?

The model gives Atleti a 0% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 3rd, with an 80% range of 2nd–5th.

Where will Atleti finish in the La Liga?

Projected finish: about 3rd (most likely 3rd), 80% likely between 2nd and 5th. Title 3.8%, top 4 85.7%, relegation 0%.