La Liga · Title race
La Liga 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Barça lead the La Liga 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 87.7% of simulations. Barça 87.7%, Real Madrid 8.3%, Atleti 3.4% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barça | 24 | 87.7% | 98 | @Real Betis 67% |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 18 | 8.3% | 82 | Sevilla FC 77% |
| 2 |  Atleti | 19 | 3.4% | 76 | @Espanyol 52% |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 16 | <1% | 65 | Osasuna 64% |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | <1% | 58 | Elche 69% |
| 7 |  Deportivo | 10 | <1% | 52 | @Real Sociedad 35% |
| 5 |  Sevilla FC | 13 | <1% | 54 | @Levante 36% |
| 6 |  Alavés | 11 | <1% | 53 | @Celta 25% |
FAQ
Who will win the La Liga this season?
Footyntel's model makes Barça the most likely La Liga 2026/27 champions at 87.7%, ahead of Real Madrid (8.3%) and Atleti (3.4%). A statistical model, not betting advice.