Footyntel.

La Liga · Real Madrid

RMA Real Madrid — Season Outlook

La Liga 2026/27 · currently 3rd · 18 pts · LWWLW

League tableTitle raceRelegation battle

Win title
8.5%
Top 4
94%
Relegation
0%
Projected points82
Projected finish3rd
Most likely finish2nd
80% range2nd–4th

Where Real Madrid finish

Champions 8.5%Top 4 94%Mid-tableRelegation 0%

Footyntel projects Real Madrid to finish around 3rd in the La Liga 2026/27 — most likely 2nd, with an 80% range of 2nd to 4th — on roughly 82 points. Their chance of winning the title is 8.5%, of top 4 94%, and of relegation 0%. On current form they are well placed for top 4.

Season trend

How Real Madrid's title, top 4 and relegation probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Real Madrid's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Real Madrid in each match (H home, A away).

H  Sevilla FC77·14·9  18 OctA  Barça16·17·67  25 OctA  Santander76·14·11  1 NovA  Valencia72·17·10  8 NovH  Celta66·20·14  22 NovH  Alavés71·18·12  29 NovA  Athletic59·22·18  6 DecH  Osasuna83·11·6  13 DecA  Deportivo56·22·21  20 DecH  Getafe76·17·6  3 JanH  Levante84·10·6  10 JanA  Málaga71·18·11  17 JanH  Real Betis66·20·15  24 JanA  Rayo Vallecano66·18·15  31 JanA  Real Sociedad65·18·17  7 FebH  Athletic76·16·9  14 FebA  Sevilla FC60·21·19  21 FebH  Valencia86·10·4  28 FebA  Villarreal51·22·28  7 MarH  Espanyol77·15·9  14 MarA  Celta49·26·26  21 MarH  Atleti56·22·22  4 AprA  Osasuna69·19·13  11 AprA  Getafe63·25·13  18 AprH  Elche85·9·5  21 AprA  Levante69·17·14  2 MayH  Barça32·21·47  9 MayH  Santander89·7·4  16 MayA  Alavés54·23·23  23 MayH  Deportivo73·16·11  30 May

FAQ

Can Real Madrid win the La Liga this season?

Footyntel's model gives Real Madrid a 8.5% chance of winning the La Liga 2026/27 title, currently 2nd of 20 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 2nd on about 82 points.

Will Real Madrid be relegated?

The model gives Real Madrid a 0% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 2nd, with an 80% range of 2nd–4th.

Where will Real Madrid finish in the La Liga?

Projected finish: about 3rd (most likely 2nd), 80% likely between 2nd and 4th. Title 8.5%, top 4 94%, relegation 0%.