Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Athletic vs Real Madrid — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Athletic win
18%
Draw
22%
Real Madrid win
59%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.9 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score51%
ATHAthleticLWWDD10th · 8 pts
RMAReal MadridLWWLW3rd · 18 pts

Ahead of Athletic v Real Madrid in the La Liga on 6 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 59%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.9 for Athletic and 1.9 for Real Madrid. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Athletic vs Real Madrid?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Real Madrid the most likely result at 59%. Full split: Athletic win 18%, draw 22%, Real Madrid win 59%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Athletic vs Real Madrid?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Athletic 0–1 Real Madrid). Projected goals: Athletic 0.9, Real Madrid 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

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