Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Real Madrid vs Elche — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 33 · Wed 21 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Real Madrid win
84%
Draw
10%
Elche win
6%
Most likely score3–0
Projected goals3.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals78%
Both teams score54%
Real MadridLWWLW3rd · 18 pts
ElcheLLDLW17th · 6 pts

Ahead of Real Madrid v Elche in the La Liga on 21 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 84%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–0, with projected goals of 3.3 for Real Madrid and 0.8 for Elche. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Real Madrid goals down (↓), Elche goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid vs Elche?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely result at 84%. Full split: Real Madrid win 84%, draw 10%, Elche win 6%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Elche?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–0 (Real Madrid 3–0 Elche). Projected goals: Real Madrid 3.3, Elche 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

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