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La Liga · Fixtures

Rayo Vallecano vs Atleti — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Sun 3 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Rayo Vallecano win
21%
Draw
21%
Atleti win
58%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.2 – 2.1
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score61%
Rayo VallecanoLWLWD13th · 8 pts
AtletiLWWWW2nd · 19 pts

Ahead of Rayo Vallecano v Atleti in the La Liga on 3 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Atleti the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.2 for Rayo Vallecano and 2.1 for Atleti. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Rayo Vallecano goals down (↓), Atleti goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Atleti?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Atleti the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Rayo Vallecano win 21%, draw 21%, Atleti win 58%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Atleti?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atleti). Projected goals: Rayo Vallecano 1.2, Atleti 2.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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