Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Atleti vs Valencia — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sun 13 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Atleti win
80%
Draw
13%
Valencia win
7%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.6 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score45%
AtletiLWWWW2nd · 19 pts
ValenciaLLLWL19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Atleti v Valencia in the La Liga on 13 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Atleti the most likely outcome at 80%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.6 for Atleti and 0.7 for Valencia. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atleti goals down (↓), Valencia goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Atleti vs Valencia?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Atleti the most likely result at 80%. Full split: Atleti win 80%, draw 13%, Valencia win 7%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atleti vs Valencia?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Atleti 2–0 Valencia). Projected goals: Atleti 2.6, Valencia 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring.

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