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La Liga · Fixtures

Atleti vs Rayo Vallecano — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC

Atleti win
75%
Draw
15%
Rayo Vallecano win
10%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.7 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams score56%
AtletiLWWWW2nd · 19 pts
Rayo VallecanoLWLWD13th · 8 pts

Ahead of Atleti v Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 16 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Atleti the most likely outcome at 75%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.7 for Atleti and 0.9 for Rayo Vallecano. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atleti goals down (↓), Rayo Vallecano goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Atleti 1W · 0D · 1L.

Rayo Vallecano3–0Atleti
Atleti3–2Rayo Vallecano

Recent form

Atleti
W@ Alavés2–1
Wvs Real Madrid2–1
Wvs Osasuna4–0
W@ Real Sociedad3–0
L@ Athletic0–3
Rayo Vallecano
D@ Osasuna1–1
Wvs Espanyol2–1
L@ Real Madrid1–4
Wvs Santander3–2
L@ Barça2–5

FAQ

Who will win Atleti vs Rayo Vallecano?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Atleti the most likely result at 75%. Full split: Atleti win 75%, draw 15%, Rayo Vallecano win 10%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atleti vs Rayo Vallecano?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Atleti 2–0 Rayo Vallecano). Projected goals: Atleti 2.7, Rayo Vallecano 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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