Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Atleti vs Elche — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 25 · Sun 21 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Atleti win
78%
Draw
13%
Elche win
9%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams score57%
AtletiLWWWW2nd · 19 pts
ElcheLDLWD17th · 6 pts

Ahead of Atleti v Elche in the La Liga on 21 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Atleti the most likely outcome at 78%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.9 for Atleti and 0.9 for Elche. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atleti goals down (↓), Elche goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Atleti 0W · 1D · 1L.

Elche3–2Atleti
Atleti1–1Elche

Recent form

Atleti
W@ Alavés2–1
Wvs Real Madrid2–1
Wvs Osasuna4–0
W@ Real Sociedad3–0
L@ Athletic0–3
Elche
Dvs Celta0–0
W@ Espanyol3–1
Lvs Real Madrid2–3
D@ Athletic1–1
Lvs Real Sociedad2–3

FAQ

Who will win Atleti vs Elche?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Atleti the most likely result at 78%. Full split: Atleti win 78%, draw 13%, Elche win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atleti vs Elche?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Atleti 2–0 Elche). Projected goals: Atleti 2.9, Elche 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring.

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