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La Liga · Fixtures

Atleti vs Athletic — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 37 · Sun 23 May, 00:00 UTC

Atleti win
68%
Draw
19%
Athletic win
13%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score49%
AtletiLWWWW2nd · 19 pts
AthleticLWWDD10th · 8 pts

Ahead of Atleti v Athletic in the La Liga on 23 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Atleti the most likely outcome at 68%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.1 for Atleti and 0.8 for Athletic. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atleti goals down (↓), Athletic goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Atleti vs Athletic?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Atleti the most likely result at 68%. Full split: Atleti win 68%, draw 19%, Athletic win 13%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atleti vs Athletic?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Atleti 2–0 Athletic). Projected goals: Atleti 2.1, Athletic 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring.

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