Footyntel.

Championship · Southampton

SOU Southampton — Season Outlook

Championship 2026/27 · currently 13th · 10 pts · DDWWL

League tableTitle raceRelegation battle

Win title
27.2%
Play-offs (top 6)
79.3%
Relegation
<1%
Projected points83
Projected finish4th
Most likely finish1st
80% range1st–10th

Where Southampton finish

Champions 27.2%Play-offs (top 6) 79.3%Mid-tableRelegation <1%

Footyntel projects Southampton to finish around 4th in the Championship 2026/27 — most likely 1st, with an 80% range of 1st to 10th — on roughly 83 points. Their chance of winning the title is 27.2%, of play-offs (top 6) 79.3%, and of relegation 0.2%. On current form they are in the title mix.

Season trend

How Southampton's title, play-offs (top 6) and relegation probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Southampton's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Southampton in each match (H home, A away).

H  Portsmouth70·17·13  11 OctA  Norwich51·20·29  14 OctH  Bolton74·14·11  17 OctA  West Ham38·21·41  24 OctH  QPR63·20·18  31 OctA  West Brom47·25·29  3 NovA  Preston NE62·19·19  7 NovH  Derby County73·16·12  21 NovA  Sheffield Utd52·22·26  24 NovH  Middlesbrough54·20·26  27 NovA  Wolverhampton45·21·34  5 DecH  Burnley79·12·9  9 DecA  Cardiff55·21·24  12 DecH  Blackburn68·18·14  19 DecA  Charlton56·23·20  26 DecH  West Ham56·19·25  29 DecH  Cardiff71·16·13  1 JanA  Bolton59·19·22  16 JanA  QPR47·23·30  23 JanH  West Brom62·21·17  26 JanH  Preston NE77·14·10  30 JanA  Derby County58·21·22  6 FebA  Bristol City50·22·28  13 FebH  Norwich68·16·16  17 FebH  Wrexham69·17·14  20 FebA  Portsmouth55·22·23  27 FebA  Stoke49·22·29  3 MarH  Watford71·17·12  6 MarA  Middlesbrough37·22·41  13 MarH  Wolverhampton63·18·19  16 MarH  Charlton70·18·12  20 MarA  Blackburn53·22·25  3 AprA  Swansea37·25·39  6 AprH  Lincoln City67·19·14  10 AprA  Millwall46·21·33  17 AprH  Birmingham63·19·18  20 AprA  Burnley65·18·17  24 AprH  Sheffield Utd68·17·15  1 May

FAQ

Can Southampton win the Championship this season?

Footyntel's model gives Southampton a 27.2% chance of winning the Championship 2026/27 title, currently 1st of 24 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 1st on about 83 points.

Will Southampton be relegated?

The model gives Southampton a 0.2% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 1st, with an 80% range of 1st–10th.

Where will Southampton finish in the Championship?

Projected finish: about 4th (most likely 1st), 80% likely between 1st and 10th. Title 27.2%, play-offs (top 6) 79.3%, relegation 0.2%.