Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Derby County vs Southampton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 30 · Sat 6 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Derby County win
22%
Draw
21%
Southampton win
58%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.2 – 2.1
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams score63%
DERDerby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts
SOUSouthamptonDDWWL13th · 10 pts

Ahead of Derby County v Southampton in the Championship on 6 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Southampton the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.2 for Derby County and 2.1 for Southampton. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Derby County vs Southampton?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Southampton the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Derby County win 22%, draw 21%, Southampton win 58%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Derby County vs Southampton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Derby County 1–2 Southampton). Projected goals: Derby County 1.2, Southampton 2.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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