Championship · Relegation
Championship 2026/27 Relegation Battle
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableTitle raceFixtures
Preston NE carry the highest relegation risk in the Championship 2026/27 at 49.8%. Preston NE 49.8%, Burnley 49.7%, Derby County 32.3% are most in danger.
Relegation probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
In danger
| # | Team | Pts | Relegation % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | PNE Preston NE | 4 | 49.8% | 43 | @Birmingham 19% |
| 24 | BUR Burnley | 4 | 49.7% | 43 | Charlton 40% |
| 22 | DER Derby County | 5 | 32.3% | 49 | @QPR 23% |
| 20 | WAT Watford | 8 | 23.1% | 51 | @Cardiff 27% |
| 21 | CAR Cardiff | 7 | 20.6% | 53 | Watford 46% |
| 15 | BOL Bolton | 10 | 18.9% | 54 | @Wolverhampton 20% |
| 9 | CHA Charlton | 12 | 17.2% | 54 | @Burnley 32% |
| 19 | POR Portsmouth | 8 | 16.5% | 55 | @Southampton 13% |
| 16 | BLA Blackburn | 9 | 12.7% | 57 | @Bristol City 28% |
| 18 | SHE Sheffield Utd | 9 | 11.3% | 58 | @Portsmouth 33% |
FAQ
Who will be relegated from the Championship?
The model's highest relegation risks are Preston NE (49.8%), Burnley (49.7%), Derby County (32.3%). These are estimates from current form and remaining fixtures, not certainties.