CAR Cardiff — Season Outlook

Q: Can Cardiff win the Championship this season?

Footyntel's model gives Cardiff a 0.2% chance of winning the Championship 2026/27 title, currently 19th of 24 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 22nd on about 53 points.

Q: Will Cardiff be relegated?

The model gives Cardiff a 20.6% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 22nd, with an 80% range of 8th–23rd.

Q: Where will Cardiff finish in the Championship?

Projected finish: about 16th (most likely 22nd), 80% likely between 8th and 23rd. Title 0.2%, play-offs (top 6) 5.9%, relegation 20.6%.

Championship 2026/27 · currently 21st · 7 pts · LDLWL

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

<1%

Play-offs (top 6)

5.9%

Relegation

20.6%

Projected points53

Projected finish16th

Most likely finish22nd

80% range8th–23rd

Where Cardiff finish

Champions <1%Play-offs (top 6) 5.9%Mid-tableRelegation 20.6%

Footyntel projects Cardiff to finish around 16th in the Championship 2026/27 — most likely 22nd, with an 80% range of 8th to 23rd — on roughly 53 points. Their chance of winning the title is 0.2%, of play-offs (top 6) 5.9%, and of relegation 20.6%. On current form they are not yet safe from the drop.

Season trend

How Cardiff's title, play-offs (top 6) and relegation probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Cardiff's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Cardiff in each match (H home, A away).

H Watford46·27·27 13 Oct A Middlesbrough17·19·64 17 Oct H Birmingham37·26·37 24 Oct A Wolverhampton22·21·57 31 Oct H West Ham29·22·49 4 Nov H Burnley53·23·24 7 Nov A Norwich25·21·54 21 Nov H Preston NE51·24·25 24 Nov A Swansea18·23·59 29 Nov H Lincoln City42·28·30 5 Dec A West Brom25·27·48 8 Dec H Southampton24·21·55 12 Dec A Bristol City27·24·49 19 Dec H Millwall36·24·40 26 Dec A Birmingham24·24·52 29 Dec A Southampton13·16·71 1 Jan H Middlesbrough29·23·48 16 Jan H Wolverhampton36·24·41 23 Jan A West Ham17·18·65 27 Jan A Burnley38·24·37 30 Jan H Norwich40·23·37 6 Feb H Bolton48·24·29 13 Feb A Watford33·28·40 16 Feb A Charlton33·29·38 20 Feb H Blackburn43·26·31 27 Feb H Derby County47·25·28 2 Mar A Wrexham28·24·47 6 Mar H Swansea29·26·45 13 Mar A Lincoln City29·28·43 16 Mar A Millwall23·21·56 20 Mar H Bristol City41·25·34 3 Apr A Stoke26·24·50 6 Apr H Portsmouth45·26·30 10 Apr A Sheffield Utd28·25·47 17 Apr H QPR38·26·36 21 Apr H West Brom37·28·35 24 Apr A Preston NE36·26·38 1 May

FAQ

Can Cardiff win the Championship this season?

Footyntel's model gives Cardiff a 0.2% chance of winning the Championship 2026/27 title, currently 19th of 24 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 22nd on about 53 points.

Will Cardiff be relegated?

The model gives Cardiff a 20.6% chance of relegation this season. Their most likely finish is 22nd, with an 80% range of 8th–23rd.

Where will Cardiff finish in the Championship?

Projected finish: about 16th (most likely 22nd), 80% likely between 8th and 23rd. Title 0.2%, play-offs (top 6) 5.9%, relegation 20.6%.