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Championship · Fixtures

Cardiff vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 35 · Tue 2 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Cardiff win
47%
Draw
25%
Derby County win
28%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score55%
CardiffLDLWL21st · 7 pts
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Cardiff v Derby County in the Championship on 2 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Cardiff the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Cardiff and 1.2 for Derby County. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Cardiff goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Cardiff 0W · 1D · 0L.

Derby County2–2Cardiff

Recent form

Cardiff
L@ Blackburn1–2
Wvs Charlton3–1
L@ Bolton0–1
Dvs Stoke1–1
L@ Portsmouth0–2
Derby County
Dvs Wrexham1–1
D@ Burnley1–1
Lvs Birmingham1–2
Lvs West Brom0–1
L@ West Ham0–3
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Cardiff winDrawDerby County win

FAQ

Who will win Cardiff vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Cardiff the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Cardiff win 47%, draw 25%, Derby County win 28%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Cardiff 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Cardiff 1.6, Derby County 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

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