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Championship · Fixtures

Burnley vs Birmingham — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Wed 25 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Burnley win
31%
Draw
24%
Birmingham win
45%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score59%
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts
BirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts

Ahead of Burnley v Birmingham in the Championship on 25 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Birmingham the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Burnley and 1.6 for Birmingham. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Burnley goals down (↓), Birmingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Burnley vs Birmingham?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Birmingham the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Burnley win 31%, draw 24%, Birmingham win 45%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Birmingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Burnley 1–1 Birmingham). Projected goals: Burnley 1.3, Birmingham 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

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