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Championship · Fixtures

Stoke vs Southampton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 35 · Wed 3 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Stoke win
29%
Draw
22%
Southampton win
49%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams score65%
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts
SouthamptonDWWLW13th · 10 pts

Ahead of Stoke v Southampton in the Championship on 3 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Southampton the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Stoke and 1.9 for Southampton. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Stoke goals down (↓), Southampton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Stoke 1W · 0D · 2L.

Southampton3–1Stoke
Stoke0–2Southampton
Southampton1–2Stoke

Recent form

Stoke
W@ Bolton2–1
Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
W@ Watford2–1
D@ Cardiff1–1
Wvs Charlton4–0
Southampton
Wvs Portsmouth1–0
L@ Wrexham1–2
Wvs Bristol City4–1
Wvs Swansea3–1
D@ Lincoln City1–1

FAQ

Who will win Stoke vs Southampton?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Southampton the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Stoke win 29%, draw 22%, Southampton win 49%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Southampton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Stoke 1–1 Southampton). Projected goals: Stoke 1.4, Southampton 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

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