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Championship · Fixtures

Southampton vs Middlesbrough — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Southampton win
54%
Draw
20%
Middlesbrough win
26%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.2 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams score69%
SouthamptonDWWLW13th · 10 pts
MiddlesbroughWWDDW3rd · 15 pts

Ahead of Southampton v Middlesbrough in the Championship on 27 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Southampton the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.2 for Southampton and 1.5 for Middlesbrough. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Southampton goals down (↓), Middlesbrough goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Southampton the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Southampton win 54%, draw 20%, Middlesbrough win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Southampton 2–1 Middlesbrough). Projected goals: Southampton 2.2, Middlesbrough 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.

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