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Championship · Fixtures

Southampton vs Charlton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 39 · Sat 20 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Southampton win
71%
Draw
18%
Charlton win
11%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score48%
SouthamptonDWWLW13th · 10 pts
CharltonLDDLD9th · 12 pts

Ahead of Southampton v Charlton in the Championship on 20 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Southampton the most likely outcome at 71%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.2 for Southampton and 0.8 for Charlton. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Southampton goals down (↓), Charlton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Southampton 1W · 1D · 0L.

Southampton1–1Charlton
Charlton1–5Southampton

Recent form

Southampton
Wvs Portsmouth1–0
L@ Wrexham1–2
Wvs Bristol City4–1
Wvs Swansea3–1
D@ Lincoln City1–1
Charlton
Dvs Bristol City1–1
L@ Cardiff1–3
Dvs Portsmouth0–0
Dvs QPR0–0
L@ Stoke0–4
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Southampton winDrawCharlton win

FAQ

Who will win Southampton vs Charlton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Southampton the most likely result at 71%. Full split: Southampton win 71%, draw 18%, Charlton win 11%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Charlton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Southampton 2–0 Charlton). Projected goals: Southampton 2.2, Charlton 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring.

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