ETR Troyes — Season Outlook

Q: Can Troyes win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Troyes a 0% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 17th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 18th on about 32 points.

Q: Will Troyes be relegated?

The model gives Troyes a 49.2% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 18th, with an 80% range of 10th–18th.

Q: Where will Troyes finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 15th (most likely 18th), 80% likely between 10th and 18th. Title 0%, top 4 0.6%, relegation / play-off 49.2%.

Ligue 1 2026/27 · currently 16th · 4 pts · DWLLL

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

<1%

Top 4

0.6%

Relegation

49.2%

Projected points32

Projected finish15th

Most likely finish18th

80% range10th–18th

Where Troyes finish

Champions <1%Top 4 0.6%Mid-tableRelegation 49.2%

Footyntel projects Troyes to finish around 15th in the Ligue 1 2026/27 — most likely 18th, with an 80% range of 10th to 18th — on roughly 32 points. Their chance of winning the title is 0%, of top 4 0.6%, and of relegation / play-off 49.2%. On current form they are not yet safe from the drop.

Season trend

How Troyes's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Troyes's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Troyes in each match (H home, A away).

H Marseille27·23·50 11 Oct H RC Lens21·21·58 17 Oct A Toulouse19·20·61 24 Oct H Le Mans38·23·39 31 Oct A PSG6·12·82 7 Nov H Le Havre43·29·28 20 Nov A Nice30·27·42 28 Nov H Olympique Lyon18·22·60 5 Dec A Brest16·19·65 12 Dec H Stade Rennais31·23·47 2 Jan A Auxerre27·24·49 16 Jan H Monaco23·22·54 23 Jan A Marseille13·17·70 30 Jan H Lille19·24·57 6 Feb A Paris FC14·20·66 13 Feb A RC Lens9·14·76 20 Feb H Nice47·27·26 27 Feb H Lorient32·27·41 6 Mar A Olympique Lyon8·15·77 13 Mar H Auxerre45·25·31 20 Mar A Le Havre27·29·43 3 Apr H Angers SCO44·27·29 10 Apr A Stade Rennais15·18·67 17 Apr H Toulouse35·24·41 24 Apr H Brest32·23·45 1 May A Le Mans21·20·59 8 May A Strasbourg14·16·70 16 May H PSG15·19·66 22 May A Monaco11·16·73 29 May

FAQ

Can Troyes win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Troyes a 0% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 17th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 18th on about 32 points.

Will Troyes be relegated?

The model gives Troyes a 49.2% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 18th, with an 80% range of 10th–18th.

Where will Troyes finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 15th (most likely 18th), 80% likely between 10th and 18th. Title 0%, top 4 0.6%, relegation / play-off 49.2%.