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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Auxerre vs Troyes — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sat 16 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Auxerre win
49%
Draw
24%
Troyes win
27%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score56%
AuxerreLLLWW15th · 6 pts
TroyesDWLLL16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Auxerre v Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 16 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Auxerre the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Auxerre and 1.2 for Troyes. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Auxerre goals down (↓), Troyes goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Auxerre vs Troyes?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Auxerre the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Auxerre win 49%, draw 24%, Troyes win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Troyes?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Auxerre 1–1 Troyes). Projected goals: Auxerre 1.7, Troyes 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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