Footyntel.

Eredivisie · Ajax

AJA Ajax — Season Outlook

Eredivisie 2026/27 · currently 5th · 15 pts · LWWDD

League tableTitle raceRelegation battle

Win title
6.6%
Top 4
62.1%
Relegation
<1%
Projected points66
Projected finish4th
Most likely finish3rd
80% range2nd–7th

Where Ajax finish

Champions 6.6%Top 4 62.1%Mid-tableRelegation <1%

Footyntel projects Ajax to finish around 4th in the Eredivisie 2026/27 — most likely 3rd, with an 80% range of 2nd to 7th — on roughly 66 points. Their chance of winning the title is 6.6%, of top 4 62.1%, and of relegation / play-off 0%. On current form they are well placed for top 4.

Season trend

How Ajax's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Ajax's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Ajax in each match (H home, A away).

A  Groningen63·19·19  18 OctA  Sparta81·11·8  25 OctH  AZ39·23·38  31 OctA  Twente46·24·30  8 NovH  Den Haag71·16·13  22 NovA  Feyenoord35·22·43  29 NovH  Utrecht69·16·15  6 DecH  Cambuur71·15·14  13 DecA  Go Ahead67·16·17  20 DecA  Willem II84·10·6  9 JanH  Groningen51·21·28  17 JanH  Telstar66·19·15  23 JanA  Heerenveen64·19·17  31 JanA  Excelsior63·19·18  13 FebH  Go Ahead55·19·26  20 FebH  Feyenoord24·20·55  27 FebA  Den Haag81·12·8  6 MarH  Zwolle81·11·7  13 MarA  NEC62·18·20  20 MarH  Twente35·24·40  3 AprA  Utrecht79·12·9  10 AprA  PSV36·20·44  24 AprH  Sittard62·18·19  1 MayA  AZ50·22·28  8 MayH  Sparta72·15·13  16 MayA  Cambuur81·11·8  23 May

FAQ

Can Ajax win the Eredivisie this season?

Footyntel's model gives Ajax a 6.6% chance of winning the Eredivisie 2026/27 title, currently 3rd of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 3rd on about 66 points.

Will Ajax be relegated?

The model gives Ajax a 0% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 3rd, with an 80% range of 2nd–7th.

Where will Ajax finish in the Eredivisie?

Projected finish: about 4th (most likely 3rd), 80% likely between 2nd and 7th. Title 6.6%, top 4 62.1%, relegation / play-off 0%.