Footyntel.

Eredivisie · Fixtures

Ajax vs Groningen — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 19 · Sun 17 Jan, 13:30 UTC

Ajax win
51%
Draw
21%
Groningen win
28%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams score67%
AJAAjaxLWWDD5th · 15 pts
GROGroningenLLDDW9th · 11 pts

Ahead of Ajax v Groningen in the Eredivisie on 17 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 51%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2 for Ajax and 1.5 for Groningen. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Ajax vs Groningen?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Ajax the most likely result at 51%. Full split: Ajax win 51%, draw 21%, Groningen win 28%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Groningen?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Ajax 2–1 Groningen). Projected goals: Ajax 2, Groningen 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring.

← Eredivisie table & projection