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Eredivisie · Fixtures

Ajax vs Zwolle — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 26 · Sat 13 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Ajax win
80%
Draw
12%
Zwolle win
8%
Most likely score3–0
Projected goals3 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals74%
Both teams score55%
AjaxLWWDD5th · 15 pts
ZwolleWLDLL16th · 5 pts

Ahead of Ajax v Zwolle in the Eredivisie on 13 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 80%. The single most probable scoreline is 3–0, with projected goals of 3 for Ajax and 0.9 for Zwolle. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Ajax goals down (↓), Zwolle goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Ajax vs Zwolle?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Ajax the most likely result at 80%. Full split: Ajax win 80%, draw 12%, Zwolle win 8%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Zwolle?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 3–0 (Ajax 3–0 Zwolle). Projected goals: Ajax 3, Zwolle 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

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