Footyntel.

Eredivisie · Fixtures

Excelsior vs Ajax — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sat 13 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Excelsior win
18%
Draw
19%
Ajax win
63%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.2 – 2.3
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams score62%
EXCExcelsiorWWDLD7th · 11 pts
AJAAjaxLWWDD5th · 15 pts

Ahead of Excelsior v Ajax in the Eredivisie on 13 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 63%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.2 for Excelsior and 2.3 for Ajax. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Excelsior vs Ajax?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Ajax the most likely result at 63%. Full split: Excelsior win 18%, draw 19%, Ajax win 63%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs Ajax?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Excelsior 1–2 Ajax). Projected goals: Excelsior 1.2, Ajax 2.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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