Eredivisie · Relegation
Eredivisie 2026/27 Relegation Battle
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableTitle raceFixtures
Zwolle carry the highest relegation / play-off risk in the Eredivisie 2026/27 at 70.5%. Zwolle 70.5%, Willem II 60.2%, Den Haag 45.9% are most in danger.
Relegation probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
In danger
| # | Team | Pts | Relegation % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | ZWO Zwolle | 4 | 70.5% | 24 | Cambuur 21% |
| 18 | WII Willem II | 2 | 60.2% | 26 | @Utrecht 35% |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 45.9% | 29 | @Telstar 40% |
| 12 | SPA Sparta | 6 | 34.3% | 32 | Willem II 39% |
| 14 | CAM Cambuur | 5 | 31.2% | 33 | @Zwolle 60% |
| 13 | TEL Telstar | 5 | 25.9% | 34 | Den Haag 35% |
| 15 | UTR Utrecht | 5 | 21.6% | 36 | Willem II 45% |
| 10 | HEE Heerenveen | 9 | 2.6% | 46 | Excelsior 31% |
| 6 | SIT Sittard | 14 | 2.5% | 47 | @NEC 33% |
| 8 | GOA Go Ahead | 11 | 1.6% | 49 | @Zwolle 77% |
FAQ
Who will be relegated from the Eredivisie?
The model's highest relegation / play-off risks are Zwolle (70.5%), Willem II (60.2%), Den Haag (45.9%). These are estimates from current form and remaining fixtures, not certainties.