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Eredivisie · Fixtures

Ajax vs Sparta — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 33 · Sun 16 May, 12:30 UTC

Ajax win
72%
Draw
15%
Sparta win
13%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams score64%
AjaxLWWDD5th · 15 pts
SpartaLDLLD13th · 6 pts

Ahead of Ajax v Sparta in the Eredivisie on 16 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 72%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.8 for Ajax and 1.1 for Sparta. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Ajax vs Sparta?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Ajax the most likely result at 72%. Full split: Ajax win 72%, draw 15%, Sparta win 13%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Sparta?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Ajax 2–1 Sparta). Projected goals: Ajax 2.8, Sparta 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring.

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