Ligue 1 · Le Mans

LMF Le Mans — Season Outlook

Q: Can Le Mans win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Le Mans a 0.2% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 13th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 13th on about 40 points.

Q: Will Le Mans be relegated?

The model gives Le Mans a 19.5% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 13th, with an 80% range of 7th–17th.

Q: Where will Le Mans finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 12th (most likely 13th), 80% likely between 7th and 17th. Title 0.2%, top 4 3.8%, relegation / play-off 19.5%.

Ligue 1 2026/27 · currently 12th · 6 pts · LDDWL

League table Title race Relegation battle

Win title

<1%

Top 4

3.8%

Relegation

19.5%

Projected points40

Projected finish12th

Most likely finish13th

80% range7th–17th

Where Le Mans finish

Champions <1%Top 4 3.8%Mid-tableRelegation 19.5%

Footyntel projects Le Mans to finish around 12th in the Ligue 1 2026/27 — most likely 13th, with an 80% range of 7th to 17th — on roughly 40 points. Their chance of winning the title is 0.2%, of top 4 3.8%, and of relegation / play-off 19.5%. On current form they are likely to finish mid-table.

Season trend

How Le Mans's title, top 4 and relegation / play-off probabilities have moved.

📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.

Le Mans's remaining fixtures

Model win / draw / loss for Le Mans in each match (H home, A away).

H Toulouse46·22·32 16 Oct A Auxerre36·24·40 25 Oct A Troyes39·23·38 31 Oct H Monaco32·23·45 8 Nov A Marseille19·19·62 22 Nov H Lille26·25·50 28 Nov A Paris FC19·22·59 5 Dec A Le Havre36·28·36 12 Dec H Olympique Lyon25·23·52 2 Jan A Strasbourg20·18·62 16 Jan H Angers SCO55·23·22 23 Jan H Nice58·22·19 30 Jan A Lorient25·24·51 6 Feb H PSG22·20·58 13 Feb A Monaco16·18·66 20 Feb H Paris FC35·25·40 27 Feb A Toulouse26·21·52 6 Mar H Stade Rennais42·22·37 13 Mar A Angers SCO36·26·38 20 Mar H Marseille37·22·40 3 Apr H Auxerre56·21·22 10 Apr A Brest24·20·56 17 Apr H Le Havre54·25·21 24 Apr A RC Lens14·16·70 1 May H Troyes59·20·21 8 May A Olympique Lyon12·17·71 16 May H Strasbourg39·21·39 22 May A Lille13·19·68 29 May

FAQ

Can Le Mans win the Ligue 1 this season?

Footyntel's model gives Le Mans a 0.2% chance of winning the Ligue 1 2026/27 title, currently 13th of 18 clubs by title probability. They are projected to finish around 13th on about 40 points.

Will Le Mans be relegated?

The model gives Le Mans a 19.5% chance of relegation / play-off this season. Their most likely finish is 13th, with an 80% range of 7th–17th.

Where will Le Mans finish in the Ligue 1?

Projected finish: about 12th (most likely 13th), 80% likely between 7th and 17th. Title 0.2%, top 4 3.8%, relegation / play-off 19.5%.