Primeira Liga · Title race
Primeira Liga 2026/27 Title Race
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Porto lead the Primeira Liga 2026/27 title race on the model, winning it in 65.1% of simulations. Porto 65.1%, SL Benfica 21.7%, Sporting CP 12.8% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FCP Porto | 24 | 65.1% | 85 | @Gil Vicente 68% |
| 4 | BEN SL Benfica | 16 | 21.7% | 78 | Vitória SC 78% |
| 2 | SPO Sporting CP | 18 | 12.8% | 75 | Acad. Viseu 70% |
| 3 | CD Santa Clara | 18 | <1% | 59 | SL Benfica 15% |
| 8 | SCB Braga | 11 | <1% | 55 | Gil Vicente 35% |
| 6 | FCA Arouca | 11 | <1% | 48 | Amadora 39% |
| 7 | GIL Gil Vicente | 11 | <1% | 51 | @Braga 34% |
| 5 | ACV Acad. Viseu | 14 | <1% | 50 | @Sporting CP 13% |
FAQ
Who will win the Primeira Liga this season?
Footyntel's model makes Porto the most likely Primeira Liga 2026/27 champions at 65.1%, ahead of SL Benfica (21.7%) and Sporting CP (12.8%). A statistical model, not betting advice.