Brasileirão Série A · Title race
Brasileirão Série A 2026 Title Race
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableRelegation battleFixtures
Flamengo lead the Brasileirão Série A 2026 title race on the model, winning it in 64.2% of simulations. Flamengo 64.2%, Palmeiras 35.7%, Fluminense <1% head the contenders.
Title probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
Contenders
| # | Team | Pts | Title % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA Flamengo | 61 | 64.2% | 80 | Fluminense 66% |
| 2 | PAL Palmeiras | 60 | 35.7% | 78 | Corinthians 68% |
| 3 | FLU Fluminense | 51 | <1% | 66 | @Flamengo 14% |
| 4 | CAP Paranaense | 50 | <1% | 64 | @Chapecoense 53% |
| 5 | CRU Cruzeiro | 48 | 0% | 62 | @Bragantino 34% |
| 6 | BAH Bahia | 46 | 0% | 59 | Mirassol 54% |
| 7 | CAM Mineiro | 44 | 0% | 57 | Santos 50% |
| 8 | SAN Santos | 42 | 0% | 54 | @Mineiro 26% |
FAQ
Who will win the Brasileirão Série A this season?
Footyntel's model makes Flamengo the most likely Brasileirão Série A 2026 champions at 64.2%, ahead of Palmeiras (35.7%) and Fluminense (<1%). A statistical model, not betting advice.