Brasileirão Série A · Relegation
Brasileirão Série A 2026 Relegation Battle
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableTitle raceFixtures
Chapecoense carry the highest relegation risk in the Brasileirão Série A 2026 at 100%. Chapecoense 100%, Clube do Remo 97.9%, Grêmio 58.4% are most in danger.
Relegation probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
In danger
| # | Team | Pts | Relegation % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | CHA Chapecoense | 18 | 100% | 25 | Paranaense 24% |
| 19 | CRE Clube do Remo | 25 | 97.9% | 34 | Bragantino 36% |
| 18 | FBP Grêmio | 30 | 58.4% | 41 | Internacional 44% |
| 17 | SCI Internacional | 31 | 40.6% | 42 | @Grêmio 28% |
| 16 | COR Corinthians | 32 | 28.2% | 43 | @Palmeiras 10% |
| 15 | MIR Mirassol | 33 | 21.6% | 45 | @Bahia 22% |
| 14 | VAS Vasco da Gama | 35 | 19.7% | 45 | @São Paulo 25% |
| 12 | VIT Vitória | 36 | 19.6% | 45 | @Corinthians 23% |
| 10 | COR Coritiba | 38 | 5.4% | 48 | Botafogo 41% |
| 13 | BOT Botafogo | 35 | 5.4% | 48 | @Coritiba 35% |
FAQ
Who will be relegated from the Brasileirão Série A?
The model's highest relegation risks are Chapecoense (100%), Clube do Remo (97.9%), Grêmio (58.4%). These are estimates from current form and remaining fixtures, not certainties.