Serie A · Relegation
Serie A 2026/27 Relegation Battle
Updated 11 October 2026 · model projection from 50,000 simulations
League tableTitle raceFixtures
Venezia FC carry the highest relegation risk in the Serie A 2026/27 at 59.3%. Venezia FC 59.3%, Parma 48.6%, Lecce 37.9% are most in danger.
Relegation probability over time
📈 Trend tracking has just started. This chart shows how the probabilities move through the season — it fills in as daily snapshots build up, so check back in a few days.
In danger
| # | Team | Pts | Relegation % | Proj pts | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | VEN Venezia FC | 0 | 59.3% | 29 | @Atalanta 16% |
| 17 | PAR Parma | 4 | 48.6% | 32 | Torino 32% |
| 12 | USL Lecce | 6 | 37.9% | 34 | Bologna 26% |
| 18 | FIO Fiorentina | 4 | 34.8% | 35 | Como 1907 13% |
| 16 | GEN Genoa | 4 | 34.3% | 35 | @Roma 5% |
| 14 | TOR Torino | 4 | 26.4% | 38 | Udinese 36% |
| 15 | MON Monza | 4 | 21.8% | 40 | @Lazio 17% |
| 19 | BOL Bologna | 2 | 13.8% | 43 | @Lecce 46% |
| 13 | UDI Udinese | 4 | 12.4% | 45 | @Torino 42% |
| 10 | SAS Sassuolo | 7 | 5.1% | 50 | Milan 22% |
FAQ
Who will be relegated from the Serie A?
The model's highest relegation risks are Venezia FC (59.3%), Parma (48.6%), Lecce (37.9%). These are estimates from current form and remaining fixtures, not certainties.