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Serie A · Fixtures

Napoli vs Milan — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sun 13 Dec, 19:45 UTC

Napoli win
38%
Draw
27%
Milan win
35%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score51%
NapoliLLWDW7th · 10 pts
MilanWWDDW5th · 11 pts

Ahead of Napoli v Milan in the Serie A on 13 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Napoli the most likely outcome at 38%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Napoli and 1.2 for Milan. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Napoli goals down (↓), Milan goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Napoli 1W · 0D · 1L.

Napoli1–0Milan
Milan2–1Napoli

Recent form

Napoli
Wvs Frosinone3–0
D@ Fiorentina1–1
Wvs Bologna1–0
L@ Inter2–3
Lvs Como 19071–2
Milan
Wvs Lecce3–0
D@ Lazio2–2
D@ Juventus1–1
Wvs Venezia FC2–0
W@ Torino2–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Napoli winDrawMilan win

FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs Milan?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Napoli the most likely result at 38%. Full split: Napoli win 38%, draw 27%, Milan win 35%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Milan?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Napoli 1–1 Milan). Projected goals: Napoli 1.3, Milan 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

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