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Serie A · Fixtures

Napoli vs Lecce — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 UTC

Napoli win
74%
Draw
17%
Lecce win
9%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.2 – 0.6
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score42%
NAPNapoliLLWDW7th · 10 pts
USLLecceWLLWL12th · 6 pts

Ahead of Napoli v Lecce in the Serie A on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Napoli the most likely outcome at 74%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.2 for Napoli and 0.6 for Lecce. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs Lecce?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Napoli the most likely result at 74%. Full split: Napoli win 74%, draw 17%, Lecce win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Lecce?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Napoli 2–0 Lecce). Projected goals: Napoli 2.2, Lecce 0.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring.

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