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Serie A · Fixtures

Napoli vs Genoa — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC

Napoli win
71%
Draw
18%
Genoa win
11%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score47%
NapoliLLWDW7th · 10 pts
GenoaLLDLW17th · 4 pts

Ahead of Napoli v Genoa in the Serie A on 16 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Napoli the most likely outcome at 71%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.2 for Napoli and 0.7 for Genoa. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Napoli goals down (↓), Genoa goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Napoli 3W · 0D · 0L.

Genoa0–2Napoli
Genoa2–3Napoli
Napoli2–1Genoa

Recent form

Napoli
Wvs Frosinone3–0
D@ Fiorentina1–1
Wvs Bologna1–0
L@ Inter2–3
Lvs Como 19071–2
Genoa
Wvs Fiorentina2–1
L@ Parma1–2
Dvs Frosinone1–1
Lvs Como 19071–4
L@ Lazio0–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Napoli winDrawGenoa win

FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs Genoa?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Napoli the most likely result at 71%. Full split: Napoli win 71%, draw 18%, Genoa win 11%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Genoa?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Napoli 2–0 Genoa). Projected goals: Napoli 2.2, Genoa 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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