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Serie A · Fixtures

Napoli vs Fiorentina — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Sun 17 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Napoli win
72%
Draw
16%
Fiorentina win
11%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score53%
NapoliLLWDW7th · 10 pts
FiorentinaLLWDL19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Napoli v Fiorentina in the Serie A on 17 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Napoli the most likely outcome at 72%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.4 for Napoli and 0.9 for Fiorentina. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Napoli goals down (↓), Fiorentina goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs Fiorentina?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Napoli the most likely result at 72%. Full split: Napoli win 72%, draw 16%, Fiorentina win 11%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Fiorentina?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Napoli 2–0 Fiorentina). Projected goals: Napoli 2.4, Fiorentina 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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