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Serie A · Fixtures

Napoli vs Atalanta — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 38 · Sun 30 May, 00:00 UTC

Napoli win
52%
Draw
25%
Atalanta win
22%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score49%
NapoliLLWDW7th · 10 pts
AtalantaWWLLL11th · 6 pts

Ahead of Napoli v Atalanta in the Serie A on 30 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Napoli the most likely outcome at 52%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.6 for Napoli and 0.9 for Atalanta. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Napoli goals down (↓), Atalanta goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs Atalanta?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Napoli the most likely result at 52%. Full split: Napoli win 52%, draw 25%, Atalanta win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Atalanta?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Napoli 1–0 Atalanta). Projected goals: Napoli 1.6, Atalanta 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring.

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