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Serie A · Fixtures

Milan vs Sassuolo — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 28 · Sun 14 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Milan win
64%
Draw
19%
Sassuolo win
16%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.2 – 1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score56%
MilanWWDDW5th · 11 pts
SassuoloLWDWL10th · 7 pts

Ahead of Milan v Sassuolo in the Serie A on 14 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Milan the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.2 for Milan and 1 for Sassuolo. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Milan goals down (↓), Sassuolo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Milan 0W · 1D · 1L.

Sassuolo2–0Milan
Milan2–2Sassuolo

Recent form

Milan
Wvs Lecce3–0
D@ Lazio2–2
D@ Juventus1–1
Wvs Venezia FC2–0
W@ Torino2–1
Sassuolo
L@ Monza1–2
Wvs Juventus3–2
D@ Bologna2–2
Wvs Torino2–1
L@ Atalanta1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Milan winDrawSassuolo win

FAQ

Who will win Milan vs Sassuolo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Milan the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Milan win 64%, draw 19%, Sassuolo win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Milan vs Sassuolo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Milan 2–0 Sassuolo). Projected goals: Milan 2.2, Sassuolo 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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