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Serie A · Fixtures

Milan vs Napoli — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Sun 18 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Milan win
44%
Draw
26%
Napoli win
30%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score51%
MilanWWDDW5th · 11 pts
NapoliLLWDW7th · 10 pts

Ahead of Milan v Napoli in the Serie A on 18 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Milan the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Milan and 1.1 for Napoli. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Milan goals down (↓), Napoli goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Milan vs Napoli?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Milan the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Milan win 44%, draw 26%, Napoli win 30%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Milan vs Napoli?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Milan 1–1 Napoli). Projected goals: Milan 1.4, Napoli 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

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