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Serie A · Fixtures

Milan vs Fiorentina — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Tue 5 Jan, 19:45 UTC

Milan win
75%
Draw
15%
Fiorentina win
10%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score50%
MilanWWDDW5th · 11 pts
FiorentinaLLWDL19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Milan v Fiorentina in the Serie A on 5 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Milan the most likely outcome at 75%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.5 for Milan and 0.8 for Fiorentina. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Milan goals down (↓), Fiorentina goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Milan 1W · 1D · 0L.

Fiorentina1–1Milan
Milan2–1Fiorentina

Recent form

Milan
Wvs Lecce3–0
D@ Lazio2–2
D@ Juventus1–1
Wvs Venezia FC2–0
W@ Torino2–1
Fiorentina
L@ Genoa1–2
Dvs Napoli1–1
W@ Venezia FC4–2
Lvs Torino1–2
Lvs Frosinone0–3
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Milan winDrawFiorentina win

FAQ

Who will win Milan vs Fiorentina?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Milan the most likely result at 75%. Full split: Milan win 75%, draw 15%, Fiorentina win 10%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Milan vs Fiorentina?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Milan 2–0 Fiorentina). Projected goals: Milan 2.5, Fiorentina 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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