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Serie A · Fixtures

Milan vs Bologna — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 UTC

Milan win
61%
Draw
23%
Bologna win
16%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.8 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score45%
MilanWWDDW5th · 11 pts
BolognaLDLDW13th · 5 pts

Ahead of Milan v Bologna in the Serie A on 28 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Milan the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.8 for Milan and 0.8 for Bologna. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Milan goals down (↓), Bologna goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Milan 2W · 0D · 0L.

Bologna0–3Milan
Milan1–0Bologna

Recent form

Milan
Wvs Lecce3–0
D@ Lazio2–2
D@ Juventus1–1
Wvs Venezia FC2–0
W@ Torino2–1
Bologna
W@ Lecce2–1
Dvs Torino1–1
L@ Napoli0–1
Dvs Sassuolo2–2
L@ Atalanta0–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Milan winDrawBologna win

FAQ

Who will win Milan vs Bologna?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Milan the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Milan win 61%, draw 23%, Bologna win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Milan vs Bologna?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Milan 1–0 Bologna). Projected goals: Milan 1.8, Bologna 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring.

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