Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 UTC · Full time

2 – 1

Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina — Genoa won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Genoa to win at 42%, and the exact 2–1 scoreline at about 9%.

Pre-match model view

Genoa win

42%

Draw

25%

Fiorentina win

34%

Most likely score1–1

Projected goals1.5 – 1.4

Over 2.5 goals55%

Both teams score58%

GenoaLLDLW17th · 4 pts

FiorentinaLLWDL19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Genoa v Fiorentina in the Serie A on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Genoa the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Genoa and 1.4 for Fiorentina. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Genoa goals down (↓), Fiorentina goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Genoa 1W · 2D · 0L.

Genoa2–1Fiorentina

Fiorentina0–0Genoa

Genoa2–2Fiorentina

Recent form

Genoa

Wvs Fiorentina2–1

L@ Parma1–2

Dvs Frosinone1–1

Lvs Como 19071–4

L@ Lazio0–1

Fiorentina

L@ Genoa1–2

Dvs Napoli1–1

W@ Venezia FC4–2

Lvs Torino1–2

Lvs Frosinone0–3

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Genoa win Draw Fiorentina win

FAQ

Who will win Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Genoa the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Genoa win 42%, draw 25%, Fiorentina win 34%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Genoa 1–1 Fiorentina). Projected goals: Genoa 1.5, Fiorentina 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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