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Serie A · Fixtures

Atalanta vs Roma — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Sun 17 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Atalanta win
17%
Draw
24%
Roma win
58%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.8 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score43%
AtalantaWWLLL11th · 6 pts
RomaWWWDD3rd · 14 pts

Ahead of Atalanta v Roma in the Serie A on 17 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Roma the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.8 for Atalanta and 1.6 for Roma. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atalanta goals down (↓), Roma goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Atalanta vs Roma?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Roma the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Atalanta win 17%, draw 24%, Roma win 58%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Roma?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Atalanta 0–1 Roma). Projected goals: Atalanta 0.8, Roma 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring.

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