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Atalanta vs Napoli — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sun 20 Dec, 19:45 UTC

Atalanta win
29%
Draw
27%
Napoli win
44%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score50%
AtalantaWWLLL11th · 6 pts
NapoliLLWDW7th · 10 pts

Ahead of Atalanta v Napoli in the Serie A on 20 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Napoli the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Atalanta and 1.4 for Napoli. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atalanta goals down (↓), Napoli goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Atalanta vs Napoli?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Napoli the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Atalanta win 29%, draw 27%, Napoli win 44%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Napoli?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Atalanta 1–1 Napoli). Projected goals: Atalanta 1.1, Napoli 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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