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Serie A · Fixtures

Atalanta vs Fiorentina — Match Prediction

Serie A 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sun 31 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Atalanta win
59%
Draw
22%
Fiorentina win
19%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.9 – 1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score53%
AtalantaWWLLL11th · 6 pts
FiorentinaLLWDL19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Atalanta v Fiorentina in the Serie A on 31 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Atalanta the most likely outcome at 59%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Atalanta and 1 for Fiorentina. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atalanta goals down (↓), Fiorentina goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Atalanta 1W · 1D · 0L.

Fiorentina1–1Atalanta
Atalanta2–0Fiorentina

Recent form

Atalanta
L@ Juventus0–2
Lvs Cagliari1–2
L@ Roma1–2
Wvs Bologna1–0
Wvs Sassuolo2–1
Fiorentina
L@ Genoa1–2
Dvs Napoli1–1
W@ Venezia FC4–2
Lvs Torino1–2
Lvs Frosinone0–3

FAQ

Who will win Atalanta vs Fiorentina?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Atalanta the most likely result at 59%. Full split: Atalanta win 59%, draw 22%, Fiorentina win 19%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Fiorentina?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Atalanta 1–0 Fiorentina). Projected goals: Atalanta 1.9, Fiorentina 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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